Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.701903 2.961607 3.241008 3.564900 3.931216 4.334030 4.812355
2025-10-26 2.344360 2.698314 3.103842 3.606425 4.217536 4.942920 5.878735
2025-11-02 2.110653 2.514341 2.998071 3.627573 4.435753 5.453330 6.855710
2025-11-09 1.888899 2.308481 2.828469 3.530894 4.471719 5.713288 7.519226
2025-11-16 1.733917 2.165371 2.715614 3.483264 4.550402 6.019053 8.263211
2025-11-23 1.618285 2.059812 2.637387 3.466845 4.659633 6.366299 9.098456
2025-11-30 1.559432 2.022378 2.643367 3.561390 4.927688 6.962546 10.383515
2025-12-07 1.470307 1.935845 2.573185 3.538088 5.015820 7.292417 11.284515
2025-12-14 1.386153 1.849640 2.495794 3.495186 5.065992 7.562498 12.116174
2025-12-21 1.284718 1.732305 2.365238 3.360871 4.958521 7.562279 12.467340
2025-12-28 1.234478 1.685153 2.333250 3.373447 5.084628 7.959744 13.595620
2026-01-04 1.198584 1.656358 2.325846 3.422440 5.272780 8.481240 15.038852
2026-01-11 1.163951 1.628399 2.319255 3.474436 5.475028 9.059400 16.715946
2026-01-18 1.129970 1.599383 2.308977 3.519209 5.668682 9.645516 18.523605
2026-01-25 1.093343 1.564025 2.286089 3.540225 5.820496 10.168737 20.294741
2026-02-01 1.034983 1.491813 2.200077 3.446549 5.751922 10.246912 21.050327
2026-02-08 0.990991 1.439955 2.143903 3.400369 5.767415 10.495734 22.262504
2026-02-15 0.956230 1.401012 2.106557 3.384447 5.838685 10.868175 23.860348
2026-02-22 0.944410 1.398154 2.128517 3.476126 6.128774 11.747578 26.992321
2026-03-01 0.912200 1.360538 2.089807 3.453532 6.186430 12.117787 28.813058
2026-03-08 0.878665 1.319256 2.042692 3.411931 6.200850 12.390153 30.416504
2026-03-15 0.831849 1.254136 1.951592 3.281660 6.018635 12.178982 30.517702
2026-03-22 0.811714 1.232788 1.935524 3.293859 6.140817 12.714547 33.084373